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Tactical Trends

The Tactical Trends list highlights emerging trends in terrorist weaponry, tactics, and operational methods. This living database tracks developments such as novel IED designs, drone modifications, and small arms usage across active conflict zones. It serves as an early warning tool for identifying evolving threats before they escalate.

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Weaponized Commerical Drones (UAVs)

Houthis, ISIS, Hezbollah

Militant groups are increasingly using off-the-shelf drones for reconnaissance and IED delivery. The Houthis have deployed long-range drones in strikes deep in Saudi territory. ISIS previously rigged quadcopters with grenades in Mosul. This tactic lowers the barrier to precision attacks and will likely expand in range and sophistication. 

IED Concealment Evolution

TTP, Haqqani Network, ISIS

Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) have evolved in concealment strategy, from roadside debris to imitation infrastructure (e.g., fake junction boxes or cinder blocks). The Haqqani Network in particular has pioneered city-based IED traps targeting security convoys. Detection is increasingly difficult without multi-sensor surveillance.

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Anti-Armor Capabilities

Hezbollah, Houthis

Groups like Hezbollah have adapted anti-tank guided missiles (ATGMs) such as the Kornet to ambush armored columns, even in dense urban terrain. The Houthis use Iranian-supplied ATGMs against Saudi armor in Yemen. This levels the playing field against state forces and reflects a tactical shift towards hybrid warfare. 

Weapon Diversification

All Groups

Militants are increasingly obtaining arms from regional black markets, including ex-Libyan stockpiles and poorly secured Afghan depots. Small arms, RPGs, MANPADs, and explosives are being funneled across borders, especially in the Maghreb and Afghanistan-Pakistan corridor. This supports greater operational sustainability. 

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